Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 7.974683 8.888420 9.917029 11.171824 12.676608 14.443363 16.705449
2024-12-29 6.734163 7.964210 9.482310 11.540093 14.334465 18.124095 23.902089
2025-01-05 5.760113 7.045949 8.720453 11.142416 14.710166 20.066073 29.415331
2025-01-12 5.057798 6.332452 8.056083 10.669303 14.763359 21.428990 34.503004
2025-01-19 4.573080 5.834519 7.593806 10.369047 14.956725 22.999849 40.677335
2025-01-26 4.260808 5.532629 7.358910 10.352506 15.573363 25.460591 50.142076
2025-02-02 4.200944 5.577055 7.627940 11.162801 17.792447 31.814886 74.602197
2025-02-09 4.073464 5.504243 7.701663 11.650453 19.536551 37.998607 107.338652
2025-02-16 3.872312 5.298654 7.537092 11.684756 20.372037 42.427713 142.211393
2025-02-23 3.757319 5.214727 7.558828 12.059503 22.038565 50.099699 215.982517
2025-03-02 3.513135 4.906732 7.173057 11.595484 21.665181 51.427588 255.264004
2025-03-09 3.335032 4.692909 6.930267 11.381943 21.852648 54.807005 331.993829
2025-03-16 3.158399 4.485424 6.707713 11.238655 22.348392 60.376028 500.499558
2025-03-23 3.067783 4.416021 6.728761 11.620964 24.417958 74.758834 1253.390222
2025-03-30 2.881961 4.172699 6.409953 11.219687 24.173781 78.644035 2121.034552
2025-04-06 2.704574 3.932385 6.076733 10.741784 23.582283 80.417043 3487.414476
2025-04-13 2.565124 3.748597 5.834503 10.438526 23.455971 84.976528 8696.474126
2025-04-20 2.472188 3.639203 5.723436 10.421821 24.246986 96.614677 407093.822084
2025-04-27 2.478770 3.703109 5.949431 11.240307 28.208092 141.467197 NaN
2025-05-04 2.446899 3.695984 6.034750 11.733029 31.321137 194.930983 NaN
2025-05-11 2.372818 3.607576 5.947732 11.767693 32.663580 236.802498 NaN
2025-05-18 2.334333 3.581742 5.986708 12.146412 35.730000 334.694683 NaN
2025-05-25 2.226202 3.421028 5.731200 11.677484 34.697010 341.157535 NaN